Sensex is trading higher today, in line with Asian stocks


In the Eurozone, inflation in both Germany and Spain eased significantly, led by a drop in energy prices.


Aditi Gupta,

Economist,

Bank of Baroda

FinTech BizNews Service

Mumbai, November 30, 2023: China’s manufacturing PMI slipped deeper into the contraction zone (49.4 in Nov’23 v. 49.5 in Oct’23). Non-manufacturing PMI too moderated (50.2 from 50.6 in Oct’23), led by a contraction in services activity. On the other hand, US economic strength was reinforced after Q3CY23 GDP was revised upwards to 5.2% (est. 5%), from 4.9% earlier. In the Eurozone, inflation in both Germany and Spain eased significantly, led by a drop in energy prices. Separately, OECD has projected a slowdown in global growth from 2.9% in 2023 to 2.7% in 2024. Even so, it expects most major economies to avoid a hard landing. For India, GDP growth is estimated at 6.3% in FY24 and 6.1% in FY25. In India, the free foodgrains scheme (PMGKAY) has been extended for another 5 years, with an estimated cost of Rs. 11.8 lakh crores.

  • Global stocks broadly ended lower. Investors' sentiments were impacted by expectations of a mild slowdown in 2024 as projected in OECD’s Economic Outlook. Apart from this, moderation in inflation in Germany and slowdown in consumer credit in UK, also impacted sentiments. Hang Seng fell the most, followed by Shanghai Comp. Sensex rose by 1.1%, supported by banking stocks. It is trading higher today, in line with Asian stocks.
  • Global currencies ended mixed. DXY closed flat, after declining for the last three sessions. Positive GDP data lent support to the dollar. EUR fell by 0.2% after Germany’s inflation report. INR ended broadly stable. It is trading stronger today, in line with other Asian currencies.
  • Except China (stable), global yields closed lower. Japan’s 10Y yield fell sharply, as a BoJ Board member spoke of easy monetary policy. US 10Y yield fell, tracking comments from Fed’s Loretta Mester’s suggesting a nimble approach. Germany’s 10Y yield got comfort from a softened inflation print in Nov’23. India’s 10Y yield fell by 3bps led by global cues. It is trading flat today.

(The views expressed in this research note are personal views of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bank of Baroda. Nothing contained in this publication shall constitute or be deemed to constitute an offer to sell/ purchase or as an invitation or solicitation to do so for any securities of any entity. Bank of Baroda and/ or its Affiliates and its subsidiaries make no representation as to the accuracy; completeness or reliability of any information contained herein or otherwise provided and hereby disclaim any liability with regard to the same.)

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