Merchandise Trade Deficit In Q4:2023-24 Lower Than A Year Ago


Developments in India’s Balance of Payments during the Fourth Quarter (January-March) of 2023-24


FinTech BizNews Service

Mumbai, June 24, 2024: Preliminary data analysis on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the fourth quarter (Q4), i.e., January-March 2023-24, are presented here: 

Key Features of India’s BoP in Q4:2023-24

  • India’s current account balance recorded a surplus of US$ 5.7 billion (0.6 per cent of GDP) in Q4:2023-24 as against a deficit of US$ 8.7 billion (1.0 per cent of GDP) in Q3:2023-241 and US$ 1.3 billion (0.2 per cent of GDP) a year ago [i.e., Q4:2022-23]2.
  • The merchandise trade deficit at US$ 50.9 billion in Q4:2023-24 was lower than US$ 52.6 billion a year ago.
  • Services exports grew by 4.1 per cent on a y-o-y basis in Q4:2023-24 on the back of rising exports of software, travel and business services. Net services receipt at US$ 42.7 billion was higher than its level a year ago (US$ 39.1 billion), which contributed to the surplus in the current account balance during Q4:2023-24.
  • Net outgo on the primary income account, primarily reflecting payments of investment income, increased to US$ 14.8 billion from US$ 12.6 billion a year ago.
  • Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, amounted to US$ 32.0 billion, an increase of 11.9 per cent over their level a year ago.
  • In the financial account, net foreign direct investment flows were US$ 2.0 billion in Q4:2023-24 as compared with US$ 6.4 billion a year ago.
  • Foreign portfolio investment recorded a net inflow of US$ 11.4 billion in Q4:2023-24 as against a net outflow of US$ 1.7 billion during Q4:2022-23.
  • Net inflows under external commercial borrowings to India amounted to US$ 2.6 billion in Q4:2023-24 as compared with US$ 1.7 billion a year ago.
  • Non-resident deposits recorded a higher net inflow of US$ 5.4 billion than US$ 3.6 billion in Q4:2022-23.
  • There was an accretion of foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis i.e., excluding valuation effects) to the tune of US$ 30.8 billion in Q4:2023-24 as compared with an accretion of US$ 5.6 billion a year ago.

BoP during 2023-24

  • India’s current account deficit moderated to US$ 23.2 billion (0.7 per cent of GDP) during 2023-24 from US$ 67.0 billion (2.0 per cent of GDP) during the previous year on the back of a lower merchandise trade deficit.
  • Net invisibles receipt was higher during 2023-24 than a year ago, primarily on account of services and transfers.
  • During 2023-24, portfolio investment recorded a net inflow of US$ 44.1 billion as against an outflow of US$ 5.2 billion a year ago.
  • Net FDI inflow was US$ 9.8 billion during 2023-24 as compared with US$ 28.0 billion in 2022-23.
  • In 2023-24, there was an accretion of US$ 63.7 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).

 

 


Table 1: Major Items of India's Balance of Payments

(US$ billion)

 

January-March 2023

January-March 2024

2022-23

2023-24

 

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

A. Current Account

238.0

239.3

-1.3

253.6

247.9

5.7

921.9

988.8

-67.0

942.9

966.1

-23.2

1. Goods

115.8

168.4

-52.6

121.7

172.5

-50.9

456.1

721.4

-265.3

441.5

683.5

-242.1

   Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      POL

23.9

50.8

-26.9

22.2

49.6

-27.4

97.5

209.4

-111.9

84.2

179.6

-95.5

2. Services

85.8

46.8

39.1

89.4

46.7

42.7

325.3

182.0

143.3

341.1

178.3

162.8

3. Primary Income

7.7

20.3

-12.6

10.5

25.3

-14.8

27.8

73.8

-45.9

41.5

91.2

-49.8

4. Secondary Income

28.6

3.9

24.8

32.1

3.4

28.7

112.6

11.7

100.9

118.9

13.0

105.9

B. Capital Account and Financial Account

153.4

152.5

0.9

248.1

254.4

-6.2

702.9

634.9

68.0

850.3

827.8

22.5

  Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Change in Reserve (Increase (-)/Decrease (+))

0

5.6

-5.6

0.0

30.8

-30.8

30.4

21.2

9.1

0.0

63.7

-63.7

C. Errors & Omissions (-) (A+B)

0.4

0.0

0.4

0.5

0.0

0.5

0.0

1.0

-1.0

0.7

0.0

0.7


 

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